I wish I knew, but if I were a betting man, I’d say they probably are.  Why?  The Japanese are looking at who can bring the most traffic  and commercial benefit to a reconstituted JAL in the longterm.  And that has to be Delta, the world’s largest airline, an airline with a pretty formidable presence in Tokyo and beyond on it’s own right.  This deal may not be done yet, but the handwriting is on the wall.  If JAL does leave Oneworld for SkyTeam, it will be a huge blow for the alliance, and American Airlines in particular.